Category: Market commentary
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The AI Cracks Are Making Headlines
Treasury yields above 5%, a Fed still raising rates, and a market leaning on one investment theme. What the latest signals say about risk.
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“The Fall” of the Stock Market and the U.S. Economy
Twenty-five years of rising debt, and why structural change is painful when the decision is made for us rather than by us.
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2025 Market Forecast: Did Santa Fall Off His Year-End Rally Sleigh?
Why forecasts are only as good as the day they’re written, and how fundamental and technical analysis tell different stories.
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Did the U.S. Economy Have Its Ticket Punched?
The election has come and gone. What the result may mean for the economy and markets in the months ahead.
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A Tale of Two U.S. Economies
September is historically the market’s weakest month. A look at the two economies hiding inside the headline numbers.
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The Unemployment Fiasco
A surprise jump in unemployment and the yen carry-trade unwind sent markets on a roller coaster. What happened and why it matters.
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Did Immigration Mask U.S. Economic Problems?
How population growth may have flattered the employment data, and what that means for reading the economy.
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Will the Fed Engineer a Sticky Landing?
A bumpy second quarter for stocks and bonds, and the case for a landing that is neither hard nor soft.
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The Tipping Point in the Stock Market?
“Sell in May and go away” meets a market driven by a handful of stocks. Signs of a market near its tipping point.
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“In the Fed We Trust”: The Great Debate
Rate cuts, inflation and the debate over how much the Federal Reserve can steer the economy.